Swing State Pres

Thursday, October 4, 2012

Breaking News : Romney Wins First Debate (October 4, 2012)

We'll hear from Steve later on his take on the debate...here's the data at this point:

The "snap polls" indicate Romney won:

CNN:  69-25
CBS:  46-22
Google:  48-25

There are methodology concerns with the CNN poll...it was a small sample and it appears the south, 50+ and white demos were either the only respondents or over sampled.

Nevertheless it seems to be a clear win for Romney.  Nate Silver estimates a range of 1-3 points in terms of a potential gain for Romney in the polls.  If that happens that would indeed narrow the race significantly.

More from Steve later!

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