Daily Dash...No Changes (October 27, 2012)

Daily Dash 10/26	Ahead	Margin
National Polls	Romney	0.3
Swing States	Obama	7 of 8
Electoral College	Obama	303-235
Obameter	Obama	3.6
Charisma Factor	Romney	3.7
Senate	Dems	52-48
House	Repubs	232-200

Little change today as there were only a few new national polls.  Romney remains a tad ahead on the national polls, obviously well within the MOE, while Obama leads in 7 of 8 swing states.

Should be a wild last week before Election Day….

DAILY DASH		10/22	10/23	10/24	10/25	10/26	10/27
National Polls	Obama	42.9	47.0	47.5	47.3	47.2	47.2
	Romney	43.4	47.9	47.4	47.7	47.6	47.5
	Difference	-0.4	-0.9	0.2	-0.4	-0.3	-0.3
Obameter		6.7	5.9	5.6	5.4	3.6	3.6
Charisma Factor		-0.3	-0.8	-0.8	-2.3	-3.7	-3.7
Swing States	Electoral Votes	Ob +/-	Ob +/-	Ob +/-	Ob +/-	Ob +/-	Ob +/-
Ohio	18	2	2	2	2	2	2
Nevada	6	3	2	2	3	2	2
Wisconsin	10	5	5	2	2	3	3
Iowa	6	3	2	-1	-1	2	2
Colorado	9	-1	-1	-1	-4	1	1
Virginia	13	-3	-3	-3	-2	1	1
New Hampshire	4	3	2	1	1	2	2
Florida	29	-2	-2	-2	-1	-2	-2
Electoral College	Solid Obama	237	237	237	237	237	237
Projection	Swing Obama	44	44	38	38	66	66
	Obama	281	281	275	275	303	303
	Solid Romney	206	206	206	206	206	206
	Swing Romney	51	51	57	57	29	29
	Romney	257	257	263	263	235	235
Senate	Democrat	53	53	53	52	52	52
Projection	Republican	47	47	47	48	48	48
Key Senate Races	Dem-Rep	D +/-	D +/-	D +/-	D +/-	D +/-	D +/-
Missouri	McCaskill-Akin	7	7	6	6	6	6
Ohio	Brown-Martel	6	8	6	6	5	5
Connecticut	Murphy-McMahon	6	4	4	4	4	4
Pennsylvania	Casey-Smith	7	7	8	8	5	5
Wisconsin	Baldwin-Thompson	1	1	1	1	1	1
Virginia	Kaine-Allen	1	1	1	1	1	1
Arizona	Carmona-Flake	4	4	4	-6	-6	-6
Massachusetts	Warren-Brown	4	4	6	6	6	6
Montana	Tester-Rehberg	0	0	0	0	0	0
North Dakota	Heitkamp-Berg	-10	-5	-5	-5	-5	-5
Nevada	Berkeley-Heller	-7	-7	-7	-3	-3	-3
Indiana	Donnelley-Mourdock	-5	-5	-5	-5	-5	-5
House	Democrat	200	200	200	200	200	200
Projection	Republican	235	232	232	232	232	232