Daily Dash....Romney Ahead Nationally, Obama Still Ahead Where It Counts (October 23, 2012)

While there were plenty of new presidential national and state polls today (not reflecting, of course, any potential impact from Debate Three), very little changed.   

DAILY DASH		10/22	10/23
National Polls	Obama	46.8	47.0
	Romney	47.3	47.7
	Diff	-0.5	-0.6
Obameter		6.7	5.9
Charisma Factor		-0.3	-0.8
Swing States	Elec. Vts.	Ob +/-	Ob +/-
Ohio	18	2	2
Nevada	6	3	2
Wisconsin	10	4	4
Iowa	6	3	2
Colorado	9	-1	-1
Virginia	13	-3	-3
New Hampshire	4	3	2
Florida	29	-2	-2
Electoral College	Solid Obama	237	237
Projection	Swing Obama	44	44
	Obama	281	281
	Solid Romney	206	206
	Swing Romney	51	51
	Romney	257	257
Senate	Dem	53	53
Projection	Rep	47	47
House	Dem	200	200
Projection	Rep	235	232

Romney maintains a slight edge in the national polls.

Obameter drops slightly on big drop in the Dow.

Very slight increase in Romney’s Charisma Factor lead.

 

No material changes on the swing state front, as Obama still holds the edge in five states versus Romney’s three.  Ohio still in Obama-land.

 

  

No change in projected delegates:  Obama wins based on current polls.

No change in the Senate races…the Senate stays in the Democrats hands.

And no change in the House projections…I’m due for an update shortly.