Swing State Pres

Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Daily Dash....Romney Ahead Nationally, Obama Still Ahead Where It Counts (October 23, 2012)

While there were plenty of new presidential national and state polls today (not reflecting, of course, any potential impact from Debate Three), very little changed.   

DAILY DASH

10/22
10/23
  



National Polls
Obama
46.8
47.0

Romney
47.3
47.7

Diff
-0.5
-0.6




Obameter

6.7
5.9




Charisma Factor

-0.3
-0.8




Swing States
Elec. Vts.
Ob +/-
Ob +/-
Ohio
18
2
2
Nevada
6
3
2
Wisconsin
10
4
4
Iowa
6
3
2
Colorado
9
-1
-1
Virginia
13
-3
-3
New Hampshire
4
3
2
Florida
29
-2
-2




Electoral College
Solid Obama
237
237
Projection
Swing Obama
44
44

Obama
281
281





Solid Romney
206
206

Swing Romney
51
51

Romney
257
257




Senate
Dem
53
53
Projection
Rep
47
47




House
Dem
200
200
Projection
Rep
235
232


Romney maintains a slight edge in the national polls.

Obameter drops slightly on big drop in the Dow.

Very slight increase in Romney’s Charisma Factor lead.

 

No material changes on the swing state front, as Obama still holds the edge in five states versus Romney’s three.  Ohio still in Obama-land.



 
  

No change in projected delegates:  Obama wins based on current polls.




No change in the Senate races…the Senate stays in the Democrats hands.


And no change in the House projections…I’m due for an update shortly.





















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